People in foreign countries generally either backed the U.S.-led
war or were evenly split between supporting and opposing it.
Overall, 60 percent of Americans held at least one of those views
in polls reported between January and September by the Program on
International Policy Attitudes, based at the University of Maryland
in College Park, and the polling firm, Knowledge Networks based in
Menlo Park, Calif.
"While we cannot assert that these misperceptions created the
support for going to war with Iraq, it does appear likely that
support for the war would be substantially lower if fewer members of
the public had these misperceptions," said Steven Kull, who directs
Maryland's program.
In fact, no weapons of mass destruction have been found in Iraq.
U.S. intelligence has found no clear evidence that Saddam was
working closely with al-Qaida or was involved in the Sept. 11, 2001,
attacks. Gallup polls found large majorities opposed to the war in
most countries.
PIPA's seven polls, which included 9,611 respondents, had a
margin of error from 2 to 3.5 percent.
The analysis released Thursday also correlated the misperceptions
with the primary news source of the mistaken respondents. For
example, 80 percent of those who said they relied on Fox News and 71
percent of those who said they relied on CBS believed at least one
of the three misperceptions.
The comparable figures were 47 percent for those who said they
relied most on newspapers and magazines and 23 percent for those who
said they relied on PBS or National Public Radio.
The reasons for the misperceptions are numerous, Kull and other
analysts said.
They noted that the Bush administration had misstated or
exaggerated some of the intelligence findings, with Bush himself
saying in May: "We found the weapons of mass destruction … and we'll
find more as time goes by."
The Bush administration has also been a factor in persistent
confusion.
Last month, for example, Bush said there was no evidence that
Saddam was involved in the Sept. 11 attack after Vice President Dick
Cheney suggested a link. Cheney, in a "Meet the Press" interview,
had described Iraq as "the geographic base of the terrorists who had
us under assault now for many years, but most especially on
9-11."
Why some news audiences had more accurate impressions than others
was less clear.
Kull cited instances in which TV and newspapers gave prominent
coverage to reports that banned weapons might have been found in
Iraq, but only modest coverage when those reports turned out to be
wrong.
Susan Moeller, a University of Maryland professor, said that much
reporting had consisted of "stenographic coverage of government
statements," with less attention to whether the government's
statements were accurate.
The study found that belief in inaccurate information often
persisted, and that misconceptions were much more likely among
backers of the war. Last month, as in June, for example, nearly a
quarter of those polled thought banned weapons had been found in
Iraq. Nearly half thought in September that there was clear evidence
that Saddam had worked closely with al-Qaida.
Among those with one of the three misconceptions, 53 percent
supported the war. Among those with two, 78 percent supported it.
Among those with three, 86 percent backed it. By contrast, less than
a quarter of those polled who had none of the misconceptions backed
the war.
On the Web:
To review the study, go to http://www.pipa.org/